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Oracle · Lab · venue test

Is it the name, or the chain?

The same tokenized stock lives on more than one chain. Hold the name constant and compare its premium on X Layer vs Robinhood: if both drift the same, the drift is the stock; if they diverge, it’s the chain. Diagnostic only — not the wrapper-trap product (Warden), not the basket’s peg (Steward). Research, not investment advice.

unanchored · off_hoursunderlying reopens in ~6h — drift is carry, not signal6 of 6 names on both chains · 2026-11-03 08:45 UTC
NameXL premiumRH premiumΔ ppXL price / liqRH price / liq
AAPLreal $338.32-3.08%-2.67%-0.41$327.91 / $794k$329.30 / $1.6M
MSTRreal $130.76-1.26%-0.73%-0.53$129.12 / $583k$129.80 / $3.8M
CRCLreal $72.08-1.15%-0.79%-0.36$71.25 / $568k$71.51 / $1.7M
NVDAreal $202.06+0.65%+0.64%+0.01$203.38 / $1.0M$203.36 / $8.2M
SPCXreal $136.37+0.39%+0.53%-0.14$136.91 / $724k$137.10 / $5.8M
TSLAreal $403.82-0.34%-0.39%+0.05$402.45 / $639k$402.23 / $1.3M

Over time · price (direction) + premium XL/RH

daily · % = period move · dashed = par

AAPL$338.32+16.0%

premium · XL vs RH· Δ +1.65pp

MSTR$130.76+13.4%

premium · XL vs RH· Δ +6.51pp

CRCL$72.08-8.7%

premium · XL vs RH· Δ +2.46pp

NVDA$202.06+0.8%

premium · XL vs RH· Δ +0.96pp

SPCX$136.37-15.3%

premium · XL vs RH· Δ +1.06pp

TSLA$403.82+5.8%

premium · XL vs RH· Δ -0.08pp

Two lines tracking = the drift is the name; diverging = the chain. Daily series from on-chain OHLCV (OnchainOS · GeckoTerminal) + Yahoo, back to each wrapper’s launch. X Layer uses a volume-weighted price — its pools are thin, so the raw close spikes on a single print; Robinhood uses close. The grid above is live spot now, so its last-day Δ can differ from the chart’s last daily close.

Δpp = XL premium − RH premium, name held constant → it isolates the chain. A missing side (—) is a name that isn’t wrapped on that chain yet; today only the overlap is a real comparison. Charts (cash overlay, wrapper-vs-cash) land here later.

Warden catches wrapper traps · Steward shows whether our basket is off the peg · Lab is where we compare venues.